Thursday, 29 May 2014

Sustainable Growth & Solar Energy in India- Challenges & Opportunities


Sustainable Growth & Solar Energy in India- Challenges & Opportunities
 
INTRODUCTION:

The decade of1980’s & 90’s witnessed the start of  IT/Software revolution & those who were the first movers like Infosys, Satyam, Tata, Wipro, Airtel, Essar etc., got the first mover advantage & reaped the benefits of the revolution. Similarly the present era is witnessing the start of sustainable technologies revolution & those who are first movers will get the “first mover” advantage. The renewable sector is not only important for the organizational growth per se but also to a greater good of the sustainable development of mankind. The days are not far ahead when the development of a nation would not be judged by the conventional GDP but by the “Green GDP”; the balance sheet of the companies would be evaluated as “green balance sheets”. The last century witnessed the tremendous growth in world GDP due to rapid industrialization & urbanization, particularly in western world but no one bothered about the environmental damage because of uncontrolled GHG emissions, unsustainable resource utilization & production of excessive waste. The nature has self-healing mechanism for the impact of pollution which is caused because of natural calamities & optimum utilization of resources, but it has failed heal the damage inflicted by human on the environment. The effects like global warming, erratic weather patterns and other harmful effects on flora & fauna is cause of more concern now. The need of hour is to adopt sustainable technologies for the development in order to survive on earth. International platforms like UN & IPCC and local government bodies of different countries are awakening global community to stand in favour of sustainability by adopting clean & renewable technologies. Ratification & implementation of Kyoto protocol has become relevant for the world for the survival of mankind.

 India is one the fastest growing economies in the world & fourth largest economy in the world. The relevance of sustainable development & adoption of clean technologies is going to be the most sought of policy in India. As a second most populous country in the world, there is tremendous pressure on available non-renewable resources.  To continue the present rate of growth & satisfy the ever growing demand of energy, it needs to adopt clean, green & renewable technologies. India has a very good solar profile & harnessing this energy alone can solve much of the energy related problems. Moreover the government policies like preferential tariff, ADR, mandatory RPO (still to be implemented strictly by GOI- to make the distribution companies & open access consumers to comply RPO regulations) will increase penetration of renewable technologies in India.

India is also blessed with many rivers & harnessing this hydro power by building small & micro hydro dams for electricity generation & irrigation can be a sustainable mode of generating electricity without inflicting damage to environment.

Coastal areas & some parts of southern India/western India/Northern India have a very good wind profile & a lot of wind sites have developed across the country. Still there is enough potential to develop wind sector in India. Due to withdrawal of GBI & AD policy the investment has dropped considerably in this sector over last two years, but in 2013-14 government has introduced GBI & AD policy to boost investment. But there is a need for long term solution to promote investment without GBI & AD.

As far as biomass is concerned, India has a good potential, but it has been a disappointment on this front. About 60 per cent of the country’s grid-connected power plants that run on biomass have either shut down or are on the verge of shutting down.

Analysis of Solar Segment:

Strength:

·         Sustainable & environment friendly source of energy.
·         Vast solar potential due to excellent solar profile of the subcontinent.
·         Government initiatives and schemes for solar development: MNRE is first renewable energy dedicated ministry in the world which aims to propagate renewable energy across country. Set up of NAPCC that envisages renewable energy to constitute approximate 15% of the energy mix of India by 2020. Subsidy Scheme to Promote Solar Energy through the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission.
·         Commitment to international treaties like Kyoto Protocol.
·         Govt schemes like GBI, promotion of solar technologies like water heating, solar home lighting through state nodal agencies.
·         Promotion of Solar Thermal Systems for air heating/Steam generating applications, solar buildings and Akshay Urja Shops.
·         Development of Solar Cities in 11th FYP.

 
Weakness:


·         High cost of solar energy infrastructure.
·         Solar energy can have difficulty competing with traditional forms of energy on the basis of price.
·         Poor implementation track record of solar policies.
·         States not obliging their RPO commitments.
·         Low investment in solar segment by private players due to lack of clarity of GOI on solar sector.
·         O&M issues due to poor quality of Chinese products.

 
OPPORTUNITIES:


·         Most of the perceived strengths are opportunities if there GOI brings clarity on its solar/renewable policies & demonstrate will to implement.
·         Oil, coal and other fossil fuels are a finite resource they will eventually be depleted and there will be rise in its costs. Over a period of time it presents an opportunity for the Solar industry to compete on the basis of price, eventually becoming cheaper than fossil fuels in market as well as environmental cost.
·         India is a power starved state & its most of the rural/hilly areas don’t have even 8 hrs/day power. This is an opportunity for the solar/renewable technologies. We can provide renewable energy to the deprived mass & help the country to develop by providing cost effective & clean power to this segment. Solar irrigation, power generation, solar heating, solar lighting, development of mini grids in these areas are real opportunities of growth.
·         India has huge renewable energy resources, especially solar energy. It can be a major source of income to generate renewable energy & earn REC / CC (Carbon Credits which can be traded in domestic / international markets.
 
Threats:
 

·         Availability of efficient & latest technology for power generation is causing percolation of relatively less efficient / high maintenance technologies, making to look the investment unviable.
·         High initial installation cost, lack of proper financing mechanism, lack of private investment & financial risks.
·         Lack of appropriate laws & policies, lack of will to implement the available policies, bureaucratic & procedural delays in clearing projects.
·         Supply chain issues. 

Some potential areas in solar segment to explore:
 
 Grid connected solution: As per Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission, grid connected solar power has been planned to be 1100 MW by 2010-13 in phase-I, 4000-10000 MW by 2013-17 in phase-II & 20,000 MW by 2017-22 in phase-II. PV & Solar Thermal are two proven technologies in this area. 

DC Pump Irrigation Solution: At present Ac solar water pumps are being used widely, but DC solar water pumping is technology of future as it’s more efficient & maintainable. There are only few players in DC segment & is a good opportunity for growth. Along with DC pump, there is scope for popularizing Sprinkler irrigation technology (a booster pump with additional solar panel to boost pressure) could be used to reduce the water wastage.  

O&M of Solar Installations: The solar PV installations in India are not very old now but in few years they will be out of warranty & would require O&M contractors to maintain these assets. The user would get following benefits:

·         Optimization of plant production for increased asset revenue
·         Reduction of risks for asset owners and investors
·         Protection of asset value and longevity
·         Compliance with applicable regulations
·         Transparency on plant production, performance, issues, risks and O&M activities

Hydro Power: Mini & Micro Hydyl power promises a clean energy without degrading the environment. India has a big network of rivers & canal system. The commercially viable & technically suitable locations can be used for generation of clean electricity. 

Energy/REC Trading: RECs are interstate tradable certificates issued for every unit of renewable energy produced. Mechanisms such as these are essential to achieve NAPCC’s goal of increasing the mandatory RE usage for states from 5% today to approximately 15% in the next 10 years. Instead of producing RE by their own, states can purchase RECs from each other to increase their RE content in total energy. This mechanism will enable low RE potential states to purchase RECs from high potential states, enabling them to meet NAPCC’s increased demands. Moreover, these purchases will incentivize high RE potential states to produce more RE than required currently, enabling overall increase in RE production.

Innovation in Present Offerings:

·         R&D on renewable portfolio solutions to make them affordable & reliable.
·         DC irrigation pumps with pressure booster pump & sprinkler system.
·         Online / offline condition monitoring system for O&M of solar solutions.

Consultancy on Sustainability: Over a period of time each country will have to comply the international rules on emission reduction & sustainability. Here lies the scope for consultancy to government/organization on sustainability.

 Carbon Trading as a Source of Revenue: Solar power generation emits lesser amount of CO2 compared to conventional sources of energy such as coal. Trading this reduction in the emissions trading market can be another source of income. We estimate that on an average – considering the current rate of emissions trading - savings of anywhere between Rs 0.9-1.5 can be achieved per unit of electricity produced. This will partially help in offsetting the high cost of solar production.

Consultancy & establishment of renewable Mini Grids: In India power availability is still an issue with its rural / hill area population & the current national grid is not delivering the same value to them as compared to urban population. Development of mini-grids would be major step to solve the power availability problem of the large strata of the population.

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